ANALISIS POLA DISTRIBUSI CURAH HUJAN LEBAT DOMINAN DI DAERAH ALIRAN SUNGAI (DAS) CITANDUY HULU

Abstract

Rainfall plays an important role in hydrological and environmental planning. Meteorological conditions affect rainfall through its intensity, amount, and duration. However, heavy rainfall can cause significant damage and loss. Research was conducted in the Upper Citanduy watershed, West Java, using rainfall data from 8 stations over a range of 5–14 years. The study took a heavy rainfall event threshold of ≥ 50 mm in 24 hours. The research aims to analyze the dominant heavy rainfall patterns in the Upper Citandyu watershed. Empirical analysis used the Mononobe Method and Alternating Block Method (ABM), while rainfall distribution was analyzed with Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) using Geographic Information Systems. The dominant heavy rainfall duration in the Upper Citanduy watershed occurred over 4–6 hours. Rainfall distribution analysis showed a pattern that was not influenced by the elevation of the rainfall station. The analysis results show that the Mononobe Method is closer to the dominant observed heavy rainfall distribution for 4 hours, while ABM is closer to the durations of 5 and 6 hours. The suitability of the distribution pattern was measured using Correlation (r), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) criteria, with Mononobe providing better results than ABM method. This research contributes to the understanding of rainfall patterns that can form the basis for analyzing designed rainfall intensity as a step in flood disaster mitigation in the Upper Citanduy watershed.

Keywords: heavy rainfall, rainfall distribution pattern, rainfall intensity, upper Citanduy watershed, geographic information system